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Bias: Bearish
Volatility: Low
ATR: $0.19 (0.06%)
Generated: 2026-05-29
CALL PLAY Conf: 70%
IWM 2026-06-01 $292.0C
Bid: $2.1
Ask: $2.16
OI: 518
D: 0.521
G: 0.083
T: -0.285
IV: 15.8%
PUT PLAY Conf: 70%
IWM 2026-06-01 $291.0P
Bid: $1.38
Ask: $1.42
OI: 645
D: -0.400
G: 0.080
T: -0.240
IV: 16.1%

Trading Brief

The $292 call needs a clean break above $291.71 — that's R1 and the line in the sand. Don't front-run it; wait for a full candle close above with volume confirmation. PT1 at $292.14 is your realistic target, banking $0.43 on a $0.35 risk for a 1.2R payoff. With an ATR of just $0.19, reaching PT2 at $292.58 would require nearly 5x the average range — unlikely without a catalyst. The delta at 0.521 gives you decent directional exposure, but theta at -$0.285/day will bleed you through the weekend if this doesn't trigger early. If $291.71 rejects twice, walk away. Cut at $291.36, no exceptions.

The $291 put is the stronger play today. Bearish bias, price sitting below the pivot at $291.64, and support at $291.05 is only $0.44 away — well within striking distance. Entry triggers on a confirmed break below $291.05, targeting PT1 at $290.62 for the same 1.2R. The put's lower theta at -$0.240/day gives you slightly more patience, and the higher open interest at 645 contracts means tighter fills near that $1.38-$1.42 spread. The delta at -0.400 is thinner, so you need a fuller move to hit targets, but gravity favors this side. Put is the A-setup; the call is a counter-trend fade you only take on a clear breakout.

Playbook Levels

Call Play
Entry: $291.71
PT1: $292.14 (1.23R)
PT2: $292.58 (2.49R)
PT3: $293.02 (3.74R)
Stop: $291.36
Put Play
Entry: $291.05
PT1: $290.62 (1.23R)
PT2: $290.18 (2.49R)
PT3: $289.74 (3.74R)
Stop: $291.40
Pivot Levels
R3: $291.88
R2: $291.81
R1: $291.71
Pivot: $291.64
S1: $291.54
S2: $291.47
S3: $291.37
Legend
Call Entry
Call Targets
Put Entry
Put Targets
Stop Loss