ES_60m

E-mini S&P 500

243 positions from 268 log rows, 2026-07-31 15:00:37.392002 → 2026-10-16 08:35:03.447001. $50/point. 2 contracts per position: one to the first target, one on the trail. Every dollar is net of $2.50 commission per contract per side.

← All instances

Net profit

-12.69R

Expectancy

-0.052R

Profit factor

0.65

Win rate excl. breakeven

72.7%

42.8% of all trades

Max drawdown

13.71R

Trades

243

Edge vs chance

p=0.060

Cumulative net profit

per closed position, in order

Realized only — there is no open-position mark on this page, because the bot owns the tape.

Drawdown from peak

P&L per trade

Chronological. The shape of the ride, not the destination.

P&L distribution

Every trade, sorted. How steep the left tail is against how wide the right one is.

R distribution

Trade count per R bucket — always in R, whatever the display toggle says.

Winning vs losing

Scratches are their own slice — a flat trade is not evidence either way.

P&L per hour of day

Exit hour, Eastern. Hover for the trade count behind each bar.

P&L per day of week

Thin samples early on — read the trade count before the bar.

MAE vs MFE

Heat taken (x) against best unrealized (y), both in R, one point per position. Losers clustered against the left edge means they were rejected immediately rather than given back; losers high up the y axis means winners were handed back and the exit is the problem.

Where the P&L comes from

The engine has exactly three ways out. On the fast instances the stops erase everything the targets and the trail make, and that ratio is the most actionable number here.

Exit n Win rate Total Avg
stop 36 0.0% -34.95R -0.971R
session_end 4 25.0% -0.69R -0.172R
trail 196 49.0% +21.02R +0.107R
target 7 100.0% +1.94R +0.277R
net -12.69R

Stop-outs went 0.073R in your favour on average before stopping, and 0 of 36 had been up more than +0.25R first. So these are immediate rejections, not winners handed back — the trail is not what to change. Average slippage on a stop: 0.069 points.

Scale-out

The one panel counted in LEGS rather than positions, because that is what it is about.

Reached the first target

10.3%

25 of 243 positions

Banked by the partials

+6.9R

+0.275R each, n=25

Runner legs, own R +3.5R +0.141R each
Runners that gave back 2 of 25
Runner exits trail:21 · target:2 · stop:2
Positions that scaled +0.208R n=25
Positions that never did -0.082R n=218

The last two rows are partly definitional — reaching the first target IS the trade going your way — so it is the SIZE of the gap that carries information, not its sign.

Summary (R)

Dollar rows are net of commission.
Performance All trades Long trades Short trades
Total net profit -12.69R -6.11R -6.59R
Gross profit +23.28R +10.28R +13.01R
Gross loss 35.97R 16.38R 19.59R
Profit factor 0.647 0.627 0.664
Max. drawdown 13.71R 10.38R 6.61R
Sharpe ratio? -0.121 -0.125 -0.117
Sortino ratio? -0.137 -0.144 -0.131
Ulcer index? 7.470 5.670 3.629
t statistic? -1.884 -1.324 -1.335
p value? 0.060 0.185 0.182
Total # of trades 243 112 131
Percent profitable? 42.8% 40.2% 45.0%
Win rate excl. breakeven? 72.7% 71.4% 73.8%
# of winning trades 104 45 59
# of losing trades 39 18 21
# of even trades 100 49 51
Avg. trade -0.052R -0.055R -0.050R
Avg. winning trade +0.224R +0.228R +0.220R
Avg. losing trade -0.922R -0.910R -0.933R
Ratio avg. win / avg. loss 0.243 0.251 0.236
Largest winning trade +0.98R +0.98R +0.92R
Largest losing trade -1.00R -1.00R -1.00R
Max. consec. winners 11 11 9
Max. consec. losers 2 3 2
Sessions traded? 64 54 60
Avg. trades per session 3.797 2.074 2.183
Avg. time in market 17.4 min 22.7 min 12.8 min
Profit per month? -5.03R -2.42R -2.71R
Max. time to recover? 2.71 days 6.42 days 6.1 hrs
Longest flat period? 73.08 days 60.36 days 73.66 days
Avg. MAE? 0.299R 0.307R 0.292R
Avg. MFE? 0.237R 0.233R 0.240R
Avg. ETD? 0.296R 0.297R 0.296R
Avg. entry efficiency? 55% 55% 56%
Avg. exit efficiency? 47% 46% 48%
Avg. total efficiency? 2% 1% 3%

Hour of day (exit, ET)

Bucket n Win rate Total Avg
0 8 50.0% +0.08R +0.010R
1 16 50.0% -0.19R -0.012R
2 11 45.5% -0.95R -0.087R
3 8 50.0% -2.02R -0.253R
4 14 42.9% +1.44R +0.103R
5 8 62.5% +0.40R +0.050R
6 22 36.4% -0.16R -0.007R
7 6 33.3% -2.39R -0.399R
8 14 64.3% +0.69R +0.049R
9 10 40.0% -2.34R -0.234R
10 10 20.0% +0.05R +0.005R
11 12 50.0% +1.45R +0.121R
12 10 50.0% +1.47R +0.147R
13 10 0.0% -2.00R -0.200R
14 7 42.9% +0.42R +0.060R
15 14 42.9% -1.16R -0.083R
16 11 27.3% -1.70R -0.154R
17 4 25.0% -0.69R -0.172R
19 5 60.0% +0.59R +0.118R
20 17 47.1% -2.94R -0.173R
21 8 50.0% -0.77R -0.097R
22 10 50.0% -0.59R -0.059R
23 8 37.5% -1.38R -0.172R

Day of week

Bucket n Win rate Total Avg
Mon 44 43.2% -2.16R -0.049R
Tue 53 54.7% +1.16R +0.022R
Wed 49 38.8% -3.47R -0.071R
Thu 47 42.6% -1.87R -0.040R
Fri 40 32.5% -4.18R -0.104R
Sun 10 40.0% -2.18R -0.218R

Session

Bucket n Win rate Total Avg
globex 176 46.0% -10.47R -0.059R
rth 67 34.3% -2.22R -0.033R

Direction

Bucket n Win rate Total Avg
long 112 40.2% -6.11R -0.055R
short 131 45.0% -6.59R -0.050R

Combo

Bucket n Win rate Total Avg
3-1-2_bull_reversal 8 25.0% -1.17R -0.146R
2-1-2_bear_continuation 21 38.1% -2.46R -0.117R
2-1-2_bull_continuation 26 53.8% -2.40R -0.092R
2-1-2_bear_reversal 27 63.0% -1.70R -0.063R
3-1-2_bear_reversal 12 16.7% -0.74R -0.061R
2-1-2_bull_reversal 26 30.8% -0.91R -0.035R
2-2_bull_reversal 52 40.4% -1.63R -0.031R
2-2_bear_reversal 71 45.1% -1.69R -0.024R

Continuity

Bucket n Win rate Total Avg
continuity backs it 62 37.1% -6.12R -0.099R
it does not 181 44.8% -6.57R -0.036R

Analysis (R)

64 daily rows · cumulative columns run across the whole window
Period # % trade Net Cum. net Gross profit Gross loss Max DD Cum. max DD % win Avg Avg win Avg loss Lrg win Lrg loss MAE MFE ETD Entry eff Exit eff Total eff
2026-07-31 1 0.4% +0.02R +0.02R +0.02R 0.00R 0.00R 0.00R 100.0% +0.020R +0.020R — +0.02R — 0.00R 0.02R 0.00R 100% 100% 100%
2026-08-03 4 1.6% +0.02R +0.04R +0.02R 0.00R 0.00R 0.00R 25.0% +0.005R +0.021R — +0.02R — 0.16R 0.05R 0.05R 54% 71% 25%
2026-08-04 6 2.5% -0.77R -0.73R +1.23R 2.00R 1.00R 1.00R 66.7% -0.128R +0.308R -1.000R +0.83R -1.00R 0.53R 0.35R 0.48R 54% 51% 5%
2026-08-05 6 2.5% -1.40R -2.13R +0.60R 2.00R 2.82R 2.82R 50.0% -0.233R +0.200R -1.000R +0.47R -1.00R 0.40R 0.17R 0.40R 52% 48% 0%
2026-08-06 2 0.8% +0.00R -2.13R +0.00R 0.00R 2.22R 2.82R 0.0% +0.000R — — — — 0.15R 0.04R 0.04R 57% 43% 0%
2026-08-07 3 1.2% -1.00R -3.13R +0.00R 1.00R 3.22R 3.22R 0.0% -0.333R — -1.000R — -1.00R 0.54R 0.08R 0.42R 18% 51% -32%
2026-08-09 1 0.4% -1.00R -4.13R +0.00R 1.00R 4.22R 4.22R 0.0% -1.000R — -1.000R — -1.00R 1.00R 0.07R 1.07R 6% 0% -94%
2026-08-10 4 1.6% +0.46R -3.67R +0.46R 0.00R 3.97R 4.22R 50.0% +0.115R +0.230R — +0.25R — 0.28R 0.36R 0.25R 50% 64% 14%
2026-08-11 7 2.9% +1.51R -2.16R +1.51R 0.00R 3.31R 4.22R 42.9% +0.216R +0.503R — +0.56R — 0.17R 0.40R 0.18R 78% 46% 23%
2026-08-12 5 2.1% +0.99R -1.17R +0.99R 0.00R 2.12R 4.22R 80.0% +0.198R +0.247R — +0.43R — 0.14R 0.34R 0.15R 77% 68% 45%
2026-08-13 4 1.6% -0.50R -1.67R +0.50R 1.00R 2.26R 4.22R 25.0% -0.125R +0.500R -1.000R +0.50R -1.00R 0.33R 0.40R 0.52R 61% 29% -10%
2026-08-14 5 2.1% +0.00R -1.67R +0.00R 0.00R 1.76R 4.22R 0.0% +0.000R — — — — 0.27R 0.14R 0.14R 36% 64% 0%
2026-08-17 6 2.5% -0.07R -1.74R +0.93R 1.00R 1.83R 4.22R 33.3% -0.011R +0.467R -1.000R +0.73R -1.00R 0.30R 0.30R 0.31R 45% 56% 1%
2026-08-18 4 1.6% +0.48R -1.25R +0.48R 0.00R 1.60R 4.22R 50.0% +0.120R +0.241R — +0.26R — 0.15R 0.26R 0.14R 55% 69% 24%
2026-08-19 5 2.1% +0.11R -1.14R +0.11R 0.00R 1.34R 4.22R 20.0% +0.022R +0.111R — +0.11R — 0.09R 0.14R 0.12R 65% 41% 6%
2026-08-20 3 1.2% +0.10R -1.05R +0.10R 0.00R 1.23R 4.22R 33.3% +0.032R +0.095R — +0.10R — 0.08R 0.16R 0.12R 75% 34% 10%
2026-08-21 4 1.6% +0.00R -1.05R +0.00R 0.00R 1.14R 4.22R 0.0% +0.000R — — — — 0.09R 0.12R 0.12R 57% 43% 0%
2026-08-23 1 0.4% +0.00R -1.05R +0.00R 0.00R 1.14R 4.22R 0.0% +0.000R — — — — 0.00R 0.12R 0.12R 100% 0% 0%
2026-08-24 4 1.6% -1.90R -2.95R +0.10R 2.00R 3.14R 4.22R 25.0% -0.476R +0.097R -1.000R +0.10R -1.00R 0.66R 0.09R 0.57R 26% 29% -46%
2026-08-25 5 2.1% +1.68R -1.27R +1.68R 0.00R 3.02R 4.22R 100.0% +0.336R +0.336R — +0.86R — 0.19R 0.48R 0.18R 76% 66% 42%
2026-08-26 7 2.9% -1.66R -2.93R +0.34R 2.00R 3.27R 4.22R 28.6% -0.237R +0.170R -1.000R +0.25R -1.00R 0.36R 0.21R 0.44R 51% 36% -13%
2026-08-27 5 2.1% +0.39R -2.55R +0.39R 0.00R 2.98R 4.22R 60.0% +0.077R +0.129R — +0.29R — 0.09R 0.20R 0.13R 75% 44% 19%
2026-08-28 3 1.2% -0.73R -3.28R +0.27R 1.00R 3.37R 4.22R 33.3% -0.244R +0.269R -1.000R +0.27R -1.00R 0.37R 0.17R 0.42R 53% 31% -15%
2026-08-30 1 0.4% +0.05R -3.23R +0.05R 0.00R 3.32R 4.22R 100.0% +0.045R +0.045R — +0.05R — 0.00R 0.09R 0.05R 100% 50% 50%
2026-08-31 4 1.6% -0.91R -4.14R +0.09R 1.00R 4.32R 4.32R 25.0% -0.227R +0.094R -1.000R +0.09R -1.00R 0.52R 0.19R 0.44R 41% 34% -25%
2026-09-01 7 2.9% -0.89R -5.03R +0.11R 1.00R 5.18R 5.18R 42.9% -0.128R +0.036R -1.000R +0.05R -1.00R 0.30R 0.12R 0.25R 40% 48% -12%
2026-09-02 6 2.5% -1.99R -7.02R +0.01R 2.00R 7.11R 7.11R 16.7% -0.331R +0.014R -1.000R +0.01R -1.00R 0.42R 0.16R 0.49R 45% 26% -29%
2026-09-03 5 2.1% +0.44R -6.58R +1.44R 1.00R 6.67R 7.11R 60.0% +0.088R +0.480R -1.000R +0.70R -1.00R 0.33R 0.44R 0.29R 59% 66% 24%
2026-09-04 5 2.1% +0.37R -6.20R +1.25R 0.88R 6.67R 7.11R 40.0% +0.075R +0.626R -0.878R +0.86R -0.88R 0.28R 0.42R 0.34R 61% 48% 9%
2026-09-07 2 0.8% +0.31R -5.89R +0.31R 0.00R 6.20R 7.11R 100.0% +0.153R +0.153R — +0.22R — 0.26R 0.43R 0.27R 71% 54% 25%
2026-09-08 2 0.8% +0.97R -4.92R +0.97R 0.00R 5.07R 7.11R 100.0% +0.486R +0.486R — +0.92R — 0.42R 0.58R 0.14R 54% 86% 41%
2026-09-09 4 1.6% -0.46R -5.38R +0.03R 0.48R 5.50R 7.11R 25.0% -0.114R +0.027R -0.483R +0.03R -0.48R 0.44R 0.14R 0.38R 31% 49% -20%
2026-09-10 6 2.5% -0.58R -5.96R +0.42R 1.00R 6.31R 7.11R 50.0% -0.096R +0.141R -1.000R +0.16R -1.00R 0.23R 0.26R 0.36R 70% 38% 8%
2026-09-11 2 0.8% +0.13R -5.83R +0.13R 0.00R 5.99R 7.11R 100.0% +0.065R +0.065R — +0.07R — 0.05R 0.17R 0.10R 76% 55% 31%
2026-09-13 2 0.8% -0.50R -6.33R +0.50R 1.00R 6.92R 7.11R 50.0% -0.250R +0.500R -1.000R +0.50R -1.00R 0.50R 0.39R 0.64R 51% 33% -16%
2026-09-14 3 1.2% +0.36R -5.96R +0.36R 0.00R 6.29R 7.11R 66.7% +0.121R +0.182R — +0.24R — 0.32R 0.31R 0.19R 43% 72% 15%
2026-09-15 5 2.1% +0.29R -5.67R +0.76R 0.47R 6.05R 7.11R 60.0% +0.058R +0.254R -0.472R +0.33R -0.47R 0.41R 0.23R 0.28R 49% 62% 10%
2026-09-16 3 1.2% +0.00R -5.67R +0.00R 0.00R 5.76R 7.11R 0.0% +0.000R — — — — 0.14R 0.22R 0.22R 62% 38% 0%
2026-09-17 3 1.2% +0.06R -5.62R +0.06R 0.00R 5.71R 7.11R 33.3% +0.019R +0.056R — +0.06R — 0.13R 0.12R 0.10R 63% 54% 17%
2026-09-18 2 0.8% -0.79R -6.40R +0.21R 1.00R 6.49R 7.11R 50.0% -0.393R +0.214R -1.000R +0.21R -1.00R 0.59R 0.34R 0.73R 44% 27% -29%
2026-09-20 1 0.4% -1.00R -7.40R +0.00R 1.00R 7.49R 7.49R 0.0% -1.000R — -1.000R — -1.00R 1.00R 0.12R 1.12R 11% 0% -89%
2026-09-21 2 0.8% +0.08R -7.32R +0.08R 0.00R 7.49R 7.49R 50.0% +0.041R +0.082R — +0.08R — 0.40R 0.13R 0.09R 29% 80% 10%
2026-09-22 5 2.1% -0.90R -8.22R +0.10R 1.00R 8.31R 8.31R 40.0% -0.180R +0.051R -1.000R +0.05R -1.00R 0.45R 0.10R 0.29R 35% 47% -18%
2026-09-23 2 0.8% -0.86R -9.08R +0.14R 1.00R 9.17R 9.17R 50.0% -0.429R +0.143R -1.000R +0.14R -1.00R 0.52R 0.23R 0.66R 51% 33% -16%
2026-09-24 6 2.5% -0.58R -9.65R +0.42R 1.00R 10.17R 10.17R 66.7% -0.096R +0.106R -1.000R +0.17R -1.00R 0.21R 0.19R 0.29R 68% 34% 2%
2026-09-25 4 1.6% -1.00R -10.65R +0.00R 1.00R 10.74R 10.74R 0.0% -0.250R — -1.000R — -1.00R 0.48R 0.13R 0.38R 35% 42% -23%
2026-09-27 1 0.4% +0.00R -10.65R +0.00R 0.00R 10.74R 10.74R 0.0% +0.000R — — — — 0.00R 0.37R 0.37R 100% 0% 0%
2026-09-28 5 2.1% +0.22R -10.44R +1.22R 1.00R 10.74R 10.74R 60.0% +0.043R +0.406R -1.000R +0.94R -1.00R 0.33R 0.38R 0.35R 65% 41% 6%
2026-09-29 6 2.5% -0.58R -11.01R +0.42R 1.00R 11.53R 11.53R 33.3% -0.096R +0.212R -1.000R +0.24R -1.00R 0.28R 0.19R 0.29R 52% 39% -9%
2026-09-30 5 2.1% +0.12R -10.89R +0.12R 0.00R 11.10R 11.53R 40.0% +0.025R +0.062R — +0.07R — 0.16R 0.16R 0.15R 62% 47% 9%
2026-10-01 5 2.1% +0.36R -10.53R +0.36R 0.00R 10.62R 11.53R 20.0% +0.071R +0.356R — +0.36R — 0.07R 0.23R 0.16R 65% 48% 13%
2026-10-02 5 2.1% -1.37R -11.90R +0.63R 2.00R 12.33R 12.33R 60.0% -0.274R +0.210R -1.000R +0.33R -1.00R 0.58R 0.26R 0.53R 41% 43% -16%
2026-10-04 2 0.8% +0.25R -11.65R +0.25R 0.00R 11.74R 12.33R 50.0% +0.125R +0.250R — +0.25R — 0.48R 0.38R 0.26R 48% 61% 9%
2026-10-05 5 2.1% -0.97R -12.62R +0.06R 1.03R 12.71R 12.71R 20.0% -0.194R +0.065R -0.517R +0.06R -1.00R 0.23R 0.13R 0.32R 56% 29% -14%
2026-10-06 4 1.6% -0.92R -13.54R +0.08R 1.00R 13.71R 13.71R 25.0% -0.229R +0.083R -1.000R +0.08R -1.00R 0.38R 0.21R 0.46R 48% 27% -25%
2026-10-07 4 1.6% +1.24R -12.30R +1.35R 0.11R 13.27R 13.71R 50.0% +0.309R +0.673R -0.108R +0.98R -0.11R 0.42R 0.45R 0.14R 48% 81% 29%
2026-10-08 5 2.1% -0.80R -13.10R +0.20R 1.00R 13.19R 13.71R 40.0% -0.159R +0.102R -1.000R +0.17R -1.00R 0.26R 0.20R 0.36R 70% 27% -3%
2026-10-09 3 1.2% +0.14R -12.96R +0.14R 0.00R 13.11R 13.71R 66.7% +0.048R +0.071R — +0.08R — 0.22R 0.14R 0.09R 45% 71% 16%
2026-10-11 1 0.4% +0.02R -12.93R +0.02R 0.00R 13.03R 13.71R 100.0% +0.021R +0.021R — +0.02R — 0.79R 0.29R 0.29R 27% 73% 0%
2026-10-12 5 2.1% +0.24R -12.70R +0.24R 0.00R 12.96R 13.71R 60.0% +0.048R +0.080R — +0.17R — 0.10R 0.17R 0.15R 63% 42% 5%
2026-10-13 2 0.8% +0.28R -12.41R +0.28R 0.00R 12.65R 13.71R 100.0% +0.142R +0.142R — +0.15R — 0.03R 0.35R 0.21R 93% 45% 38%
2026-10-14 2 0.8% +0.43R -11.98R +0.43R 0.00R 12.32R 13.71R 100.0% +0.216R +0.216R — +0.25R — 0.05R 0.64R 0.42R 93% 39% 32%
2026-10-15 3 1.2% -0.75R -12.73R +0.25R 1.00R 12.82R 13.71R 33.3% -0.250R +0.250R -1.000R +0.25R -1.00R 0.55R 0.21R 0.46R 35% 46% -19%
2026-10-16 3 1.2% +0.04R -12.69R +0.04R 0.00R 12.82R 13.71R 33.3% +0.013R +0.039R — +0.04R — 0.12R 0.19R 0.18R 57% 50% 7%